The Cup sees Nõmme United take on Vaprus on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Laagri 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Vaprus's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Kuressaare 2–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Vaprus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Nõmme United 7–1 Vaprus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.0 goals: 3.0 for Nõmme United and 3.0 for Vaprus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 94% and both teams to score at 75%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 39%, draw 22%, Vaprus 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (75%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 75% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nõmme United 3–2 Vaprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Vaprus39%fair 2.60 · @2.50
6.00Expected goals
3.01Nõmme United xG
2.99Vaprus xG
75%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–25%
2–25%
3–35%
2–35%
4–24%
4–34%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 3.0 – 3.0 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vaprus 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 3–2 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Nõmme United vs Vaprus (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
