Value bet: Red Arrows to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRed Arrows to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceRed Arrows or draw ✗90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.41
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗28% · fair 3.56
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi preview and prediction
The match
Nkwazi travel to face Red Arrows in the Super League on Wednesday 4 November (14:00 WAT). Red Arrows are 4th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while Nkwazi sit 7th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Red Arrows's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Chirundu Utd 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nkwazi's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with ZESCO United 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Red Arrows arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Red Arrows 0–0 Nkwazi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 1.2 for Red Arrows and 0.3 for Nkwazi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Red Arrows 62%, draw 27%, Nkwazi 10%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.41.
Value angle: Red Arrows to win at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Red Arrows 1–0 Nkwazi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Red Arrows62%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.90
Nkwazi10%fair 9.58 · @5.05
1.42Expected goals
1.17Red Arrows xG
0.26Nkwazi xG
40%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–028%
0–024%
2–016%
1–17%
3–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Red Arrows 1.2 – 0.3 Nkwazi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
On our numbers Red Arrows have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nkwazi 10%.
How many goals will there be in Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
Our predicted score is Red Arrows 1–0 Nkwazi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
