Value bet: ZESCO United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZESCO United to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceZESCO United or draw ✓82% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.84
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United preview and prediction
The match
ZESCO United travel to face Nkwazi in the Super League on Saturday 31 October (14:00 WAT). Nkwazi are 7th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while ZESCO United sit 1st on 0 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nkwazi's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Green Eagles 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ZESCO United's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Roan United 4–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ZESCO United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.5 for Nkwazi and 1.3 for ZESCO United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nkwazi 18%, draw 26%, ZESCO United 56%.
Value angle: ZESCO United to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Nkwazi 0–1 ZESCO United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nkwazi18%fair 5.68 · @4.10
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.80
ZESCO United56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
1.81Expected goals
0.55Nkwazi xG
1.27ZESCO United xG
37%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–121%
0–016%
0–213%
1–111%
1–09%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nkwazi 0.5 – 1.3 ZESCO United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ZESCO United to win✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
ZESCO United or draw✓
82%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ZESCO United / FT ZESCO United✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.84
–
Form
Nkwazi – last 6
DDDLLL
24 Oct
vs Green Eagles
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Green Buffaloes
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Chirundu Utd
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Roan United
1–2
L
24 May
@ Prison Leopards
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Nchanga Rangers
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
ZESCO United – last 6
WWDLDW
28 Oct
@ Roan United
4–0
W
24 Oct
vs Mutondo Stars
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Mufulira Wanderers
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Green Eagles
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Kabwe Warriors
1–1
D
20 May
@ Mines
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nkwazi and ZESCO United.
What is the prediction for Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
On our numbers Nkwazi have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ZESCO United 56%.
How many goals will there be in Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
Our predicted score is Nkwazi 0–1 ZESCO United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
