Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Kabwe Warriors to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKabwe Warriors to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceKabwe Warriors or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars preview and prediction
The match
Mutondo Stars travel to face Kabwe Warriors in the Super League on Saturday 10 October (14:00 WAT). Kabwe Warriors are 3rd with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while Mutondo Stars sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kabwe Warriors's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with ZESCO United 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mutondo Stars's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Red Arrows 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Kabwe Warriors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Kabwe Warriors and 0.7 for Mutondo Stars. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Kabwe Warriors to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kabwe Warriors 1–0 Mutondo Stars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kabwe Warriors64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Mutondo Stars12%fair 8.66 · @4.75
2.53Expected goals
1.85Kabwe Warriors xG
0.67Mutondo Stars xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kabwe Warriors 1.9 – 0.7 Mutondo Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kabwe Warriors to win✓
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Kabwe Warriors or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Kabwe Warriors ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kabwe Warriors / FT Kabwe Warriors✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Kabwe Warriors – last 6
DLDWWD
3 Oct
vs ZESCO United
1–1
D
24 May
@ Man Utd Zambia Academy
1–2
L
20 May
vs Zanaco
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Mines
1–0
W
8 Apr
vs Mufulira Wanderers
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Green Eagles
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mutondo Stars – last 6
LLLLDL
4 Oct
vs Red Arrows
1–3
L
24 May
@ NAPSA Stars
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Mufulira Wanderers
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Green Eagles
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Konkola Blades
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Zanaco
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kabwe Warriors and Mutondo Stars.
What is the prediction for Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars?
Our pick is Kabwe Warriors to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars?
On our numbers Kabwe Warriors have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mutondo Stars 12%.
How many goals will there be in Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars?
Our predicted score is Kabwe Warriors 1–0 Mutondo Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars?
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
