Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMOIK to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Baku Sportinq vs MOIK preview and prediction
The match
Baku Sportinq host MOIK in the Birinci Dasta on Friday 16 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Baku Sportinq are 10th with 1 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while MOIK sit 3rd on 14 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Baku Sportinq's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Cəbrayıl 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
MOIK's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Mingəçevir 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
MOIK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Baku Sportinq 3–1 MOIK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Baku Sportinq and 1.6 for MOIK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baku Sportinq 19%, draw 17%, MOIK 64%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was MOIK to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Baku Sportinq 0–1 MOIK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baku Sportinq19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @3.40
MOIK64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
2.35Expected goals
0.70Baku Sportinq xG
1.65MOIK xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 0.7 – 1.6 MOIK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is MOIK to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and MOIK 64%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 0–1 MOIK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
Baku Sportinq vs MOIK (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
