Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Şimal vs Xankəndi FK preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Şimal take on Xankəndi FK on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT). Şimal are 6th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Xankəndi FK sit 7th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Şimal's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Şahdağ 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Xankəndi FK's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to MOIK 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Şimal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Şimal and 1.5 for Xankəndi FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şimal 34%, draw 21%, Xankəndi FK 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Şimal 1–2 Xankəndi FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şimal34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Xankəndi FK45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
2.78Expected goals
1.27Şimal xG
1.51Xankəndi FK xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Şimal 1.3 – 1.5 Xankəndi FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xankəndi FK to win✗
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xankəndi FK / FT Xankəndi FK✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Şimal – last 6
LDLWWL
17 Sep
vs Şahdağ
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ MOIK
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Cəbrayıl
1–2
L
27 May
vs Qaradağ Lökbatan
2–1
W
21 May
@ Cəbrayıl
3–2
W
14 May
vs Difai Ağsu
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Xankəndi FK – last 3
LLD
18 Sep
vs MOIK
0–2
L
10 Sep
@ Cəbrayıl
1–2
L
3 Sep
vs Səbail
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Xankəndi FK.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?
On our numbers Şimal have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Xankəndi FK 45%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?
Our predicted score is Şimal 1–2 Xankəndi FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?
Şimal vs Xankəndi FK (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
