Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarvan to win ✓67% · @1.48
Double chanceKarvan or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.57
Karvan vs Zaqatala preview and prediction
The match
Karvan host Zaqatala in the Birinci Dasta on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Yevlakh City Stadium. Karvan are 4th with 13 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Zaqatala sit 8th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Karvan's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Şahdağ 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Zaqatala's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Baku Sportinq 3–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Zaqatala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Karvan and 0.8 for Zaqatala. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karvan 67%, draw 19%, Zaqatala 15%.
Safer route: Karvan or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karvan to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Karvan 2–0 Zaqatala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karvan67%fair 1.49 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @3.90
Zaqatala15%fair 6.89 · @5.25
2.93Expected goals
2.09Karvan xG
0.84Zaqatala xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Karvan 2.1 – 0.8 Zaqatala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karvan to win✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Double chance
Karvan or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Karvan ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karvan / FT Karvan✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Karvan – last 6
LWDLLL
9 Sep
@ Şahdağ
0–2
L
3 Sep
@ Baku Sportinq
3–0
W
24 May
@ Imisli FK
1–1
D
10 May
@ Turan
0–1
L
5 May
vs Neftchi Baku
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zaqatala – last 6
WDWLLL
10 Sep
vs Baku Sportinq
3–0
W
4 Sep
@ Mingəçevir
2–2
D
22 May
vs Safa Baku
2–1
W
6 May
vs Səbail
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Mingəçevir
1–7
L
22 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karvan and Zaqatala.
Our pick is Karvan to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Karvan vs Zaqatala?
On our numbers Karvan have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zaqatala 15%.
How many goals will there be in Karvan vs Zaqatala?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karvan vs Zaqatala?
Our predicted score is Karvan 2–0 Zaqatala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Karvan vs Zaqatala?
Karvan vs Zaqatala (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
