Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGol Gohar to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceGol Gohar or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.47
Gol Gohar vs Arkadag preview and prediction
The match
The AFC Cup sees Gol Gohar take on Arkadag on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 14:45 (WAT) at Central Stadium. Gol Gohar are 4th with 2 points from 4 games, while Arkadag sit 2nd on 7 points.
Form guide
Gol Gohar's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Kheybar Khorramabad 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Arkadag's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Al-Jazira 1–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arkadag arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Gol Gohar and 0.4 for Arkadag. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gol Gohar 61%, draw 25%, Arkadag 14%.
Safer route: Gol Gohar or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gol Gohar to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gol Gohar 1–0 Arkadag. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gol Gohar61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Arkadag14%fair 7.40 · @4.60
1.80Expected goals
1.35Gol Gohar xG
0.45Arkadag xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gol Gohar 1.4 – 0.4 Arkadag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gol Gohar to win✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Double chance
Gol Gohar or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gol Gohar / FT Gol Gohar✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.47
–
Form
Gol Gohar – last 6
LDLWDW
23 Oct
vs Kheybar Khorramabad
0–1
L
19 Oct
@ Esteghlal FC
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Muharraq
0–2
L
8 Oct
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3–0
W
15 Sep
vs Al-Jazira
0–0
D
10 Sep
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arkadag – last 6
LWWWWW
14 Oct
@ Al-Jazira
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Köpetdag Aşgabat
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Muharraq
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Nebitci
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs Şagadam
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Altyn Asyr
5–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gol Gohar and Arkadag.
Our pick is Gol Gohar to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gol Gohar vs Arkadag?
On our numbers Gol Gohar have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arkadag 14%.
How many goals will there be in Gol Gohar vs Arkadag?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gol Gohar vs Arkadag?
Our predicted score is Gol Gohar 1–0 Arkadag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Gol Gohar vs Arkadag?
Gol Gohar vs Arkadag (AFC Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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