Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Gangwon FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGangwon FC to win ✗59% · @1.57
Double chanceGangwon FC or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.04
Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown preview and prediction
The match
Gangwon FC host Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Cup on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Gangneung Stadium. Gangwon FC are 4th with 4 points from 4 games, while Phnom Penh Crown sit 1st on 9 points.
Form guide
Gangwon FC's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Bucheon FC 1995 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Phnom Penh Crown's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Kuching FA 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Phnom Penh Crown arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.1 for Gangwon FC and 0.4 for Phnom Penh Crown. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Gangwon FC to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Gangwon FC 1–0 Phnom Penh Crown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gangwon FC59%fair 1.69 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.50
Phnom Penh Crown18%fair 5.51 · @4.80
1.50Expected goals
1.11Gangwon FC xG
0.39Phnom Penh Crown xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Gangwon FC 1.1 – 0.4 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gangwon FC to win✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Double chance
Gangwon FC or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gangwon FC / FT Gangwon FC✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.04
–
Form
Gangwon FC – last 6
WDLDDD
9 Oct
vs Bucheon FC 1995
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Incheon United
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Jeju United FC
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Kitchee
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2–2
D
9 Sep
vs Jeonbuk Motors
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Phnom Penh Crown – last 6
WDDWWL
17 Sep
vs Kuching FA
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Angkor Tiger
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs NagaWorld
2–2
D
17 May
@ Svay Rieng
2–1
W
10 May
vs NagaWorld
3–0
W
3 May
@ Boeung Ket
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gangwon FC and Phnom Penh Crown.
What is the prediction for Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our pick is Gangwon FC to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
On our numbers Gangwon FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Phnom Penh Crown 18%.
How many goals will there be in Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our predicted score is Gangwon FC 1–0 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gangneung Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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