Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Melbourne Victory to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelbourne Victory to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceMelbourne Victory or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.75
Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul preview and prediction
The match
The AFC Cup sees Melbourne Victory take on FC Seoul on Wednesday 14 October, kicking off at 08:45 (WAT) at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while FC Seoul sit 2nd on 6 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Melbourne Victory's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with South Melbourne 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Seoul's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Jeju United FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Melbourne Victory and 0.3 for FC Seoul. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melbourne Victory 65%, draw 19%, FC Seoul 15%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Melbourne Victory to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Melbourne Victory 1–0 FC Seoul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne Victory65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.00
FC Seoul15%fair 6.53 · @5.00
1.50Expected goals
1.19Melbourne Victory xG
0.31FC Seoul xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Melbourne Victory 1.2 – 0.3 FC Seoul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Victory to win✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Melbourne Victory or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Victory / FT Melbourne Victory✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.75
–
Form
Melbourne Victory – last 6
DDWDDW
10 Oct
@ South Melbourne
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ Viettel
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Sydney
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Kingborough Lions
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Seoul – last 6
WLLWLW
10 Oct
vs Jeju United FC
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Pohang Steelers
1–2
L
16 Sep
vs Persib Bandung
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Jeonbuk Motors
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Incheon United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Victory and FC Seoul.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul?
Our pick is Melbourne Victory to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul?
On our numbers Melbourne Victory have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Seoul 15%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory 1–0 FC Seoul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul?
Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul (AFC Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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