Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.75 – our chance 59% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +63%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗59% · @2.75
Double chanceMuharraq or draw ✗81% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.93
Arkadag vs Muharraq preview and prediction
The match
The AFC Cup sees Arkadag take on Muharraq on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 14:45 (WAT). Arkadag are 2nd with 7 points from 4 games, while Muharraq sit 3rd on 3 points.
Form guide
Arkadag's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Nebitci 4–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Muharraq's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Manama 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Arkadag arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Arkadag and 1.5 for Muharraq. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arkadag 19%, draw 59%, Muharraq 22%.
Safer route: Muharraq or draw (81%) at 1.36.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Draw at 2.75 – 59% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Muharraq or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arkadag 1–1 Muharraq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arkadag19%fair 5.27 · @2.80
Draw59%fair 1.68 · @2.75
Muharraq22%fair 4.63 · @2.40
3.00Expected goals
1.47Arkadag xG
1.53Muharraq xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Arkadag 1.5 – 1.5 Muharraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
59%
1.68
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Muharraq or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muharraq / FT Muharraq✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
11%
8.93
–
Form
Arkadag – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Sep
@ Nebitci
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs Şagadam
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Altyn Asyr
5–2
W
16 Aug
vs Ahal
2–1
W
12 Aug
vs Goa
3–0
W
20 Jun
vs Köpetdag Aşgabat
0–0
D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Muharraq – last 6
WLDWWW
10 Sep
vs Manama
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ Al Ittifaq Maqaba
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Al Ahli
1–1
D
11 May
@ Khalidiya
2–1
W
4 May
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
29 Apr
vs Budaiya
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arkadag and Muharraq.
Our pick is Muharraq or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Arkadag vs Muharraq?
On our numbers Arkadag have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 59% and Muharraq 22%.
How many goals will there be in Arkadag vs Muharraq?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arkadag vs Muharraq?
Our predicted score is Arkadag 1–1 Muharraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arkadag vs Muharraq?
Arkadag vs Muharraq (AFC Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
