Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceReal or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Real vs Farroupilha preview and prediction
The match
Farroupilha travel to face Real in the Gaúcho 3 on Wednesday 30 September (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Real's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with FC Serpa 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Farroupilha's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Cruz A. 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Real arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Real and 0.8 for Farroupilha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real 65%, draw 20%, Farroupilha 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Real 2–0 Farroupilha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Farroupilha15%fair 6.56 · @4.75
2.84Expected goals
2.01Real xG
0.84Farroupilha xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real 2.0 – 0.8 Farroupilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real to win✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Double chance
Real or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Real ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real / FT Real✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Real – last 6
DWLDWW
26 Sep
vs FC Serpa
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Cruz A.
3–0
W
18 Sep
vs Academica
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Lajense
5–5
D
12 Sep
vs FBC Riograndense RS
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Amora
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Farroupilha – last 6
WLWLLD
26 Sep
vs Cruz A.
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Futebol Com Vida
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Clube 1992
2–1
W
17 Jun
vs Bagé
1–2
L
10 Jun
@ Brasil DE Pelotas
0–4
L
3 Jun
vs Guarany de Bagé
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real and Farroupilha.
Our pick is Real to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Real vs Farroupilha?
On our numbers Real have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Farroupilha 15%.
How many goals will there be in Real vs Farroupilha?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real vs Farroupilha?
Our predicted score is Real 2–0 Farroupilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real vs Farroupilha?
Real vs Farroupilha (Gaúcho 3) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
