Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✓66% · @1.22
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓83% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol preview and prediction
The match
Sheriff Tiraspol travel to face Politehnica UTM in the Super Liga on Saturday 24 October (12:00 WAT). Politehnica UTM are 6th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Sheriff Tiraspol sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Politehnica UTM's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat CSF Bălți 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sheriff Tiraspol's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Sireți 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sheriff Tiraspol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Sheriff Tiraspol 4–0 Politehnica UTM. Across their last 2 meetings Politehnica UTM have won 0, Sheriff Tiraspol 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Politehnica UTM and 2.3 for Sheriff Tiraspol. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Politehnica UTM 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Politehnica UTM17%fair 5.88 · @8.50
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @5.50
Sheriff Tiraspol66%fair 1.52 · @1.22
3.31Expected goals
1.05Politehnica UTM xG
2.27Sheriff Tiraspol xG
53%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Politehnica UTM 1.0 – 2.3 Sheriff Tiraspol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
On our numbers Politehnica UTM have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sheriff Tiraspol 66%.
How many goals will there be in Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our predicted score is Politehnica UTM 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.