Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Vietnam to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVietnam to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceVietnam or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.21
Vietnam vs Thailand preview and prediction
The match
The ASEAN Championship sees Vietnam take on Thailand on Wednesday 26 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at My Dinh National Stadium.
Form guide
Vietnam's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Thailand 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Thailand's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Vietnam 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vietnam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Thailand 0–2 Vietnam.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Vietnam and 0.8 for Thailand. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vietnam 63%, draw 25%, Thailand 12%.
Safer route: Vietnam or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Vietnam to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vietnam or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vietnam 1–0 Thailand. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vietnam63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Thailand12%fair 8.27 · @4.00
2.79Expected goals
1.98Vietnam xG
0.81Thailand xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Vietnam 2.0 – 0.8 Thailand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Vietnam or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vietnam vs Thailand?
On our numbers Vietnam have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Thailand 12%.
How many goals will there be in Vietnam vs Thailand?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vietnam vs Thailand?
Our predicted score is Vietnam 1–0 Thailand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vietnam vs Thailand?
Vietnam vs Thailand (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at My Dinh National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
