Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVietnam to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Thailand vs Vietnam preview and prediction
The match
Vietnam travel to Rajamangala Stadium in the ASEAN Championship on Saturday 22 August (14:00 WAT) to face Thailand.
Form guide
Thailand's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Singapore 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vietnam's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Malaysia 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Thailand and 1.4 for Vietnam. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thailand 34%, draw 22%, Vietnam 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Thailand 1–1 Vietnam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thailand34%fair 2.94 · @2.95
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Vietnam44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
2.65Expected goals
1.22Thailand xG
1.43Vietnam xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Thailand 1.2 – 1.4 Vietnam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vietnam to win✓
44%
2.29
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vietnam / FT Vietnam✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.90
–
Form
Thailand – last 6
LWWWWW
18 Aug
vs Singapore
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Singapore
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Myanmar
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Philippines
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Malaysia
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Laos
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vietnam – last 6
WWWWDW
19 Aug
vs Malaysia
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Malaysia
2–0
W
7 Aug
vs Cambodia
3–1
W
3 Aug
@ Indonesia
3–0
W
31 Jul
vs Singapore
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Timor-Leste
7–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thailand and Vietnam.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Thailand vs Vietnam?
On our numbers Thailand have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vietnam 44%.
How many goals will there be in Thailand vs Vietnam?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thailand vs Vietnam?
Our predicted score is Thailand 1–1 Vietnam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Thailand vs Vietnam?
Thailand vs Vietnam (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rajamangala Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
