Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Waterford to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaterford to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceWaterford or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers preview and prediction
The match
The FAI Cup sees Waterford take on Sligo Rovers on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Regional Sports Centre.
Form guide
Waterford's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sligo Rovers's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Bohemians 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Waterford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 August 2026, finished Sligo Rovers 0–0 Waterford. Across their last 3 meetings Waterford have won 1, Sligo Rovers 0, with 2 draws and 1.3 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Waterford and 1.1 for Sligo Rovers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Waterford to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Waterford or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Waterford 2–1 Sligo Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waterford62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Sligo Rovers12%fair 8.49 · @4.20
3.50Expected goals
2.40Waterford xG
1.10Sligo Rovers xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Waterford 2.4 – 1.1 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Waterford or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Waterford have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sligo Rovers 12%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Waterford 2–1 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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