The Cup sees Elva take on Tallinna Kalev on Thursday 24 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Elva linnastaadion.
Form guide
Elva's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with FC Tallinn 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Flora II 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Elva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Tallinna Kalev 1–0 Elva. Across their last 3 meetings Elva have won 1, Tallinna Kalev 2, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.8 goals: 2.8 for Elva and 3.0 for Tallinna Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 93% and both teams to score at 69%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 35%, draw 21%, Tallinna Kalev 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Elva 2–3 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.25
Tallinna Kalev44%fair 2.26 · @2.15
5.80Expected goals
2.76Elva xG
3.04Tallinna Kalev xG
69%Both score
93%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–35%
2–25%
3–35%
3–25%
2–44%
1–34%
From our goals model: Elva 2.8 – 3.0 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Elva have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tallinna Kalev 44%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 5.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 93% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–3 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.8 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Elva vs Tallinna Kalev (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Elva linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
