Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSA to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.06
Nacional AM vs CSA preview and prediction
The match
CSA travel to face Nacional AM in the Serie D on Friday 28 August (01:00 WAT).
Form guide
Nacional AM's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to ABC 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
CSA's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Uberlandia 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Nacional AM and 1.2 for CSA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional AM 35%, draw 26%, CSA 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 53% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Nacional AM 1–1 CSA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional AM35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
CSA39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.24Expected goals
1.08Nacional AM xG
1.16CSA xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Nacional AM 1.1 – 1.2 CSA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSA to win✗
39%
2.55
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSA / FT CSA✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.06
–
Form
Nacional AM – last 6
LLDDLW
16 Aug
@ ABC
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs ABC
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Iguatu
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Iguatu
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Capital Brasilia
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Capital Brasilia
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
CSA – last 6
LLWDWL
15 Aug
vs Uberlandia
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Uberlandia
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs São Luiz
2–1
W
19 Jul
@ São Luiz
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs Ipatinga
4–0
W
4 Jul
@ Ipatinga
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional AM and CSA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nacional AM vs CSA?
On our numbers Nacional AM have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CSA 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs CSA?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional AM vs CSA?
Our predicted score is Nacional AM 1–1 CSA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nacional AM vs CSA?
Nacional AM vs CSA (Serie D) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
