Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sao Jose to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSao Jose to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceSao Jose or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.08
Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Sao Jose take on Goiatuba EC on Wednesday 26 August, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Form guide
Sao Jose's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Gama 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goiatuba EC's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with ASA 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goiatuba EC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Sao Jose and 0.6 for Goiatuba EC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sao Jose 60%, draw 21%, Goiatuba EC 19%.
Safer route: Sao Jose or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Sao Jose to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sao Jose or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sao Jose 1–0 Goiatuba EC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sao Jose60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.10
Goiatuba EC19%fair 5.27 · @3.50
1.94Expected goals
1.37Sao Jose xG
0.57Goiatuba EC xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.4 – 0.6 Goiatuba EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Jose to win✗
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Sao Jose or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Jose / FT Sao Jose✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.08
–
Form
Sao Jose – last 6
LDLWDW
16 Aug
@ Gama
0–4
L
8 Aug
vs Gama
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Treze
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Treze
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Portuguesa RJ
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Portuguesa RJ
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Goiatuba EC – last 6
DDWWWL
16 Aug
@ ASA
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs ASA
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Ferroviario
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Ferroviario
3–0
W
12 Jul
@ Manauara
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Manauara
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Goiatuba EC.
What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
Our pick is Sao Jose or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
On our numbers Sao Jose have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Goiatuba EC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–0 Goiatuba EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC (Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
