Value bet: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Estudiantes de Merida FC take on Puerto Cabello on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Puerto Cabello sit 3rd on 6 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Anzoátegui FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Puerto Cabello's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Rayo Zuliano 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Puerto Cabello arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Puerto Cabello 1–2 Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Estudiantes de Merida FC and 1.4 for Puerto Cabello. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes de Merida FC 33%, draw 23%, Puerto Cabello 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win at 3.80 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Puerto Cabello. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC33%fair 3.06 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Puerto Cabello44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
2.47Expected goals
1.12Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.35Puerto Cabello xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.1 – 1.4 Puerto Cabello expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Puerto Cabello 44%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Puerto Cabello, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
