Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Santa Lucía vs Naxxar Lions preview and prediction
The match
Santa Lucía host Naxxar Lions in the Challenge League on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Santa Lucía are 13th with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Naxxar Lions sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Santa Lucía's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Fgura United 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Naxxar Lions's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Victoria Hotspurs 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Naxxar Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Santa Lucía and 1.7 for Naxxar Lions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Lucía 24%, draw 14%, Naxxar Lions 62%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Naxxar Lions to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santa Lucía 0–1 Naxxar Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Lucía24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 6.92 · @3.60
Naxxar Lions62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
2.62Expected goals
0.89Santa Lucía xG
1.73Naxxar Lions xG
47%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Santa Lucía 0.9 – 1.7 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✗
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.95
–
Form
Santa Lucía – last 6
DDDDDD
17 Oct
@ Fgura United
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Zurrieq
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ St. Andrews
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Vittoriosa Stars
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Mgarr United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Vittoriosa Stars
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
WWWLLD
18 Oct
vs Victoria Hotspurs
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Sirens
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Zebbug Rangers
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Pietà Hotspurs
2–3
L
10 May
vs Mosta
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Lucía and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Santa Lucía vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Naxxar Lions to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Santa Lucía vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Santa Lucía have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Naxxar Lions 62%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Lucía vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Lucía vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Santa Lucía 0–1 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santa Lucía vs Naxxar Lions?
Santa Lucía vs Naxxar Lions (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
