Value bet: Sirens to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Sirens vs Naxxar Lions preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Sirens take on Naxxar Lions on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT). Sirens are 9th with 7 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Naxxar Lions sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sirens's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Fgura United 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Naxxar Lions's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Zebbug Rangers 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Sirens and 1.5 for Naxxar Lions. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Sirens to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Sirens 1–2 Naxxar Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sirens38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Naxxar Lions40%fair 2.49 · @2.00
2.97Expected goals
1.46Sirens xG
1.51Naxxar Lions xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sirens 1.5 – 1.5 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✓
40%
2.49
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Form
Sirens – last 6
DWLLLW
19 Sep
@ Fgura United
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zurrieq
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Birzebbuga
2–3
L
12 Apr
vs Pietà Hotspurs
3–4
L
6 Apr
vs Balzan FC
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Fgura United
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
WLLDDD
20 Sep
vs Zebbug Rangers
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Pietà Hotspurs
2–3
L
10 May
vs Mosta
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sirens and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Sirens have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naxxar Lions 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Sirens 1–2 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
Sirens vs Naxxar Lions (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
