Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Naxxar Lions take on Zebbug Rangers on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Naxxar Lions are 3rd with 16 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Zebbug Rangers sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Naxxar Lions's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Pietà Hotspurs 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Zebbug Rangers's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to Fgura United 0–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Zebbug Rangers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Naxxar Lions and 1.1 for Zebbug Rangers. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Naxxar Lions 2–1 Zebbug Rangers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naxxar Lions70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @6.00
Zebbug Rangers9%fair 11.18 · @7.50
3.96Expected goals
2.84Naxxar Lions xG
1.12Zebbug Rangers xG
54%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Naxxar Lions 2.8 – 1.1 Zebbug Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Naxxar Lions or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Naxxar Lions ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
Naxxar Lions – last 6
LLDDDD
12 Sep
@ Pietà Hotspurs
2–3
L
10 May
vs Mosta
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Zurrieq
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Zebbug Rangers – last 4
LDWD
13 Sep
vs Fgura United
0–4
L
15 Mar
@ Zurrieq
3–3
D
1 Mar
vs Mtarfa
6–0
W
21 Feb
@ Santa Lucía
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naxxar Lions and Zebbug Rangers.
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?
On our numbers Naxxar Lions have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zebbug Rangers 9%.
How many goals will there be in Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?
Our predicted score is Naxxar Lions 2–1 Zebbug Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?
Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.