Value bet: Gudja United to win @ 2.45 – our chance 49% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGudja United to win ✗49% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Vittoriosa Stars take on Gudja United on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Vittoriosa Stars are 14th with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Gudja United sit 16th on 0 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Vittoriosa Stars's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Santa Lucía 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gudja United's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Melita 0–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Vittoriosa Stars and 1.3 for Gudja United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vittoriosa Stars 30%, draw 20%, Gudja United 49%.
Value angle: Gudja United to win at 2.45 – 49% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vittoriosa Stars 0–1 Gudja United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vittoriosa Stars30%fair 3.29 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
Gudja United49%fair 2.03 · @2.45
2.24Expected goals
0.93Vittoriosa Stars xG
1.31Gudja United xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Vittoriosa Stars 0.9 – 1.3 Gudja United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gudja United to win✗
49%
2.03
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gudja United / FT Gudja United✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Vittoriosa Stars – last 5
DWDDD
12 Sep
@ Santa Lucía
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ Mtarfa
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Mgarr United
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Santa Lucía
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Marsa
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Gudja United – last 4
LWDL
13 Sep
vs Melita
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Mtarfa
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Marsa
3–3
D
21 Feb
vs Zurrieq
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vittoriosa Stars and Gudja United.
What is the prediction for Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
On our numbers Vittoriosa Stars have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gudja United 49%.
How many goals will there be in Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
Our predicted score is Vittoriosa Stars 0–1 Gudja United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
