Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.14
St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía preview and prediction
The match
Santa Lucía travel to face St. Andrews in the Challenge League on Friday 18 September (17:15 WAT). St. Andrews are 11th with 7 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Santa Lucía sit 13th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
St. Andrews's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Victoria Hotspurs 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Santa Lucía's last 4: DDDD Most recently they drew with Vittoriosa Stars 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for St. Andrews and 1.2 for Santa Lucía. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 54% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Andrews 32%, draw 20%, Santa Lucía 47%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 2.08, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Andrews 0–1 Santa Lucía. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Andrews32%fair 3.11 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.40
Santa Lucía47%fair 2.11 · @2.15
2.18Expected goals
0.94St. Andrews xG
1.24Santa Lucía xG
43%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: St. Andrews 0.9 – 1.2 Santa Lucía expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Lucía to win✗
47%
2.11
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
2.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Lucía / FT Santa Lucía✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.14
–
Form
St. Andrews – last 5
LLLLW
13 Sep
@ Victoria Hotspurs
0–3
L
27 Jun
@ Brechin
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Birzebbuga
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Fgura United
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Balzan FC
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Santa Lucía – last 4
DDDD
12 Sep
vs Vittoriosa Stars
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Mgarr United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Vittoriosa Stars
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Zebbug Rangers
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Andrews and Santa Lucía.
What is the prediction for St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.08.
Who will win St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
On our numbers St. Andrews have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Santa Lucía 47%.
How many goals will there be in St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
Our predicted score is St. Andrews 0–1 Santa Lucía, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
