FKF Premier League · Kenya
Ulinzi Stars
Migori Youth
Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.52
Value bet: Migori Youth to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.9 – 1.1 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Migori Youth shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 33% for Ulinzi Stars.
Ulinzi Stars have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Migori Youth have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for Ulinzi Stars, 1.1 for Migori Youth). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.52 is close to our fair price of 1.68. For a bigger price, Migori Youth to win at 2.75 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Migori Youth to win | 43% | 2.33 | 2.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 76% | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | 2.26 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.52 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Migori Youth / FT Migori Youth | 22% | 4.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 15% | 6.76 | – |
Form
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Murang'a SEAL | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Oct | @ Kenya Police | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Homeboyz | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Tusker | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Mathare United | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Mara Sugar | 0–0 | D |
Migori Youth – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Mara Sugar | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Shabana | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Police | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Mombasa Elite | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Mathare United | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Jun | @ 3K | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and Migori Youth.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League hub →Nairobi United
Mara Sugar
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.52
AFC Leopards
Mombasa Elite
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
69%@1.62
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Migori Youth 43%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.