FKF Premier League · Kenya

Murang'a SEAL

WLWLD

2–2

Ulinzi Stars

LDLWD

Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars prediction & analysis

67%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.43Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultMurang'a SEAL to win ✗47% · @2.06

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.01

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55

Win chances

Murang'a SEAL47%fair 2.11 · @2.06

Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.88

Ulinzi Stars29%fair 3.45 · @3.46

2.52Expected goals

1.46Murang'a SEAL xG

1.07Ulinzi Stars xG

55%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

1–012%

2–19%

0–19%

2–09%

0–08%

From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.5 – 1.1 Ulinzi Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Murang'a SEAL hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 29% for Ulinzi Stars.

Murang'a SEAL have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Ulinzi Stars have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.5 for Murang'a SEAL, 1.1 for Ulinzi Stars). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.43 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.01 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Murang'a SEAL to win ✗	47%	2.11	2.06
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.31	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.80	2.01 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.48	1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.74	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	77%	1.29	1.14
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL ✗	27%	3.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.55	–

Form

Murang'a SEAL – last 6

WLWLDW

28 Oct	vs Nairobi United	3–2	W
25 Oct	@ 3K	1–2	L
18 Oct	vs Posta Rangers FC	5–1	W
13 Oct	@ GOR Mahia	2–4	L
2 Oct	@ APS Bomet	0–0	D
31 May	vs Mara Sugar	2–1	W

2.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Ulinzi Stars – last 6

LDLWDW

29 Oct	@ Kenya Police	0–1	L
18 Oct	@ Homeboyz	1–1	D
11 Oct	vs Tusker	0–2	L
2 Oct	vs Mathare United	2–1	W
11 Sep	vs Mara Sugar	0–0	D
31 May	@ Posta Rangers FC	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and Ulinzi Stars.

FKF Premier League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	KCB	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	AFC Leopards	6	2	4	0	+3	10
4	Kenya Police	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Shabana	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Mara Sugar	6	2	3	1	0	9
7	3K	6	2	3	1	-1	9
8	Murang'a SEAL	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Bandari	6	1	4	1	0	7
10	Posta Rangers FC	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Tusker	4	2	0	2	+2	6
12	Migori Youth	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	APS Bomet	6	1	3	2	+1	6
14	Ulinzi Stars	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Nairobi United	6	0	5	1	-1	5
16	Mathare United	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Homeboyz	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Mombasa Elite	6	0	1	5	-7	1

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub →

Bandari1

Tusker0 332542 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 71%@1.30 ✓ FT

GOR Mahia1

Nairobi United1 582121 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars?

On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ulinzi Stars 29%.

How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars?

Murang'a SEAL vs Ulinzi Stars (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.