FKF Premier League · Kenya
Bandari
Tusker
Bandari vs Tusker prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bandari 0.8 – 1.0 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tusker shade it despite being away from home – 42% to win, against 33% for Bandari.
Bandari have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.5 per game. Tusker have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (0.8 for Bandari, 1.0 for Tusker). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–0 (16%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bandari have won 1, Tusker have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.41.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tusker to win ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.49 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.80 | 1.64 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 24% | 4.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 16% | 6.25 | – |
Form
Bandari – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Posta Rangers FC | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | vs 3K | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | @ AFC Leopards | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Nairobi United | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ GOR Mahia | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jun | @ KCB | 2–0 | W |
Tusker – last 6
| 29 Oct | @ Mathare United | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Singida Black Stars | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Singida Black Stars | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Ulinzi Stars | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Mara Sugar | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Al Ahli Wad Medani | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Bandari v Tusker | 1–0 |
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League hub →Murang'a SEAL2
Ulinzi Stars2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.43
✓
FT
GOR Mahia1
Nairobi United1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.38
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bandari vs Tusker?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bandari vs Tusker?
On our numbers Bandari have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tusker 42%.
How many goals will there be in Bandari vs Tusker?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Bandari vs Tusker?
Bandari vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.