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Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Mathare United to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMathare United to win ✗53% · fair 1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United preview and prediction

The match

Ulinzi Stars host Mathare United in the FKF Premier League on Friday 2 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Ulinzi Stars are 14th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Mathare United sit 16th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Ulinzi Stars's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Mara Sugar 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Mathare United's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Migori Youth 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Ulinzi Stars arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Ulinzi Stars 2–1 Mathare United.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Mathare United to win – a 53% chance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ulinzi Stars36%fair 2.78
Draw11%fair 9.09
Mathare United53%fair 1.89

Most likely scores

Goal projections appear once goal data is in.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMathare United to win ✗53%1.89–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.12–

Form

Ulinzi Stars – last 6

DWWWLD
11 Sepvs Mara Sugar0–0D
31 May@ Posta Rangers FC1–0W
27 Mayvs Tusker2–0W
23 Mayvs Mathare United2–1W
13 Mayvs AFC Leopards0–2L
9 May@ Shabana0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mathare United – last 6

DWLLDD
11 Sep@ Migori Youth0–0D
31 Mayvs Bandari1–0W
23 May@ Ulinzi Stars1–2L
10 Mayvs APS Bomet0–2L
2 May@ Sofapaka2–2D
14 Aprvs Police0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Ulinzi Stars v Mathare United2–1
Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?

Our pick is Mathare United to win with a 53% chance.

Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?

On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mathare United 53%.

When is Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.