Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Mara Sugar take on Mombasa Elite on Monday 19 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Mara Sugar are 6th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Mombasa Elite sit 18th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Mara Sugar's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with 3K 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mombasa Elite's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Homeboyz 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mara Sugar 60%, draw 11%, Mombasa Elite 29%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mara Sugar to win – a 60% chance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mara Sugar60%fair 1.67
Draw11%fair 9.09
Mombasa Elite29%fair 3.45
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mara Sugar to win✓
60%
1.67
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Form
Mara Sugar – last 6
DLDLWW
11 Oct
@ 3K
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ Tusker
1–3
L
11 Sep
@ Ulinzi Stars
0–0
D
31 May
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–2
L
13 May
vs Shabana
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Tusker
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mombasa Elite – last 6
LLWDDW
14 Oct
vs Homeboyz
0–1
L
2 Oct
@ Migori Youth
0–2
L
1 Oct
vs Kariobangi Sharks
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Police
0–0
D
13 Jun
@ Naivas
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Nzoia Sugar
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and Mombasa Elite.
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
Our pick is Mara Sugar to win with a 60% chance.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mombasa Elite 29%.
When is Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite?
Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
