Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaccabi Tel Aviv to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceMaccabi Tel Aviv or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.83
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv preview and prediction
The match
The Toto Cup Ligat Al sees Maccabi Tel Aviv take on Hapoel Tel Aviv on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Bloomfield Stadium.
Form guide
Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Hapoel Haifa 6–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Hapoel Katamon 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 September 2026, finished Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.0 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maccabi Tel Aviv 60%, draw 23%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 16%.
Safer route: Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maccabi Tel Aviv60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.30
Hapoel Tel Aviv16%fair 6.10 · @3.30
3.00Expected goals
2.02Maccabi Tel Aviv xG
0.98Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.0 – 1.0 Hapoel Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
On our numbers Maccabi Tel Aviv have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Tel Aviv 16%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Toto Cup Ligat Al) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
