Double chanceStade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.60
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 16.27
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge preview and prediction
The match
Étoile Carouge travel to Stade Olympique de la Pontaise in the Schweizer Cup on Friday 16 October (18:00 WAT) to face Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
Form guide
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Rapperswil 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Étoile Carouge's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Yverdon Sport 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–0 Étoile Carouge. Across their last 2 meetings Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have won 1, Étoile Carouge 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.5 goals: 3.7 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and 1.8 for Étoile Carouge. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Safer route: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–1 Étoile Carouge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.80
Étoile Carouge12%fair 8.10 · @4.60
5.50Expected goals
3.66Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
1.84Étoile Carouge xG
70%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–16%
3–26%
4–16%
4–25%
2–15%
2–25%
From our goals model: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3.7 – 1.8 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✓
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.60 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✓
What is the prediction for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Étoile Carouge 12%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge (Schweizer Cup) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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