Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Zurich to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Zurich or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.59
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich preview and prediction
The match
The Schweizer Cup sees FC Aarau take on FC Zurich on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
FC Aarau's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Stade Nyonnais 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
FC Zurich's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat FC Thun 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
FC Zurich arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.7 for FC Aarau and 2.8 for FC Zurich. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Aarau 21%, draw 22%, FC Zurich 57%.
Safer route: FC Zurich or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Zurich or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Aarau 1–2 FC Zurich. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Aarau21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.70
FC Zurich57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
4.50Expected goals
1.74FC Aarau xG
2.76FC Zurich xG
69%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.7 – 2.8 FC Zurich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Zurich to win✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
FC Zurich or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
FC Zurich ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Zurich / FT FC Zurich✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.59
–
Form
FC Aarau – last 6
LLLDWD
9 Oct
@ Stade Nyonnais
1–2
L
2 Oct
vs BSC Young Boys
1–2
L
18 Sep
@ FC Winterthur
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs SC Kriens
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Rapperswil
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ FC WIL 1900
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Zurich – last 6
WDWDLW
10 Oct
vs FC Thun
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ FC Sion
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs FC Vaduz
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Grasshoppers
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs BSC Young Boys
2–4
L
29 Aug
@ Lausanne
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Aarau and FC Zurich.
Our pick is FC Zurich or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Zurich 57%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–2 FC Zurich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich (Schweizer Cup) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
