Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓92% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian preview and prediction
The match
Heart Of Midlothian travel to Ochilview Park in the League Cup on Friday 11 September (19:45 WAT) to face Stenhousemuir.
Form guide
Stenhousemuir's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Livingston 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Heart Of Midlothian's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Dundee 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 0.8 for Stenhousemuir and 2.5 for Heart Of Midlothian. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stenhousemuir 8%, draw 22%, Heart Of Midlothian 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Heart Of Midlothian to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Stenhousemuir 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stenhousemuir8%fair 13.30 · @9.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @5.00
Heart Of Midlothian70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
3.33Expected goals
0.84Stenhousemuir xG
2.49Heart Of Midlothian xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–29%
0–39%
0–19%
1–38%
1–18%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.8 – 2.5 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.72
–
Form
Stenhousemuir – last 6
WWWDWD
4 Sep
@ Livingston
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Inverness CT
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Queen's Park
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Motherwell
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Morton
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Raith Rovers
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
WWWDDW
6 Sep
vs Dundee
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Hibernian
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Rapid Vienna
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Rapid Vienna
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Inverness CT
6–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Heart Of Midlothian.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Heart Of Midlothian 70%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian (League Cup) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
