Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Canada W to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanada W to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceCanada W or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Canada W vs Denmark W preview and prediction
The match
Denmark W travel to BMO Field in the Friendlies Women on Monday 12 October (20:30 WAT) to face Canada W.
Form guide
Canada W's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Denmark W 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Denmark W's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Canada W 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game.
Denmark W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.4.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished Canada W 1–1 Denmark W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Canada W and 0.9 for Denmark W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Canada W 61%, draw 23%, Denmark W 16%.
Safer route: Canada W or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Canada W to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Canada W or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Canada W 1–0 Denmark W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Canada W61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.60
Denmark W16%fair 6.20 · @3.70
2.82Expected goals
1.92Canada W xG
0.90Denmark W xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Canada W 1.9 – 0.9 Denmark W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Canada W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Canada W vs Denmark W?
On our numbers Canada W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Denmark W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Canada W vs Denmark W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canada W vs Denmark W?
Our predicted score is Canada W 1–0 Denmark W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Canada W vs Denmark W?
Canada W vs Denmark W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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