Value bet: LDU de Quito to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30
LDU de Quito vs Aucas preview and prediction
The match
Aucas travel to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in the Copa Ecuador on Wednesday 26 August (21:00 WAT) to face LDU de Quito.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Emelec 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aucas's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Delfin SC 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 August 2026, finished Aucas 0–1 LDU de Quito. Across their last 2 meetings LDU de Quito have won 1, Aucas 0, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for LDU de Quito and 0.9 for Aucas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 65%, draw 25%, Aucas 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: LDU de Quito to win at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 2–0 Aucas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Aucas11%fair 9.44 · @4.60
3.16Expected goals
2.26LDU de Quito xG
0.91Aucas xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 2.3 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aucas 11%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 2–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
LDU de Quito vs Aucas (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
