Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗28% · fair 3.63
Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
Independiente del Valle travel to Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in the Copa Ecuador on Friday 25 September (01:00 WAT) to face Gualaceo SC.
Form guide
Gualaceo SC's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with LDU Portoviejo 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente del Valle's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Flamengo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gualaceo SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.2 for Gualaceo SC and 1.4 for Independiente del Valle. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gualaceo SC 8%, draw 24%, Independiente del Valle 68%.
Both teams to score: no (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Gualaceo SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gualaceo SC8%fair 12.87 · @10.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.90
Independiente del Valle68%fair 1.47 · @1.33
1.60Expected goals
0.24Gualaceo SC xG
1.36Independiente del Valle xG
38%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–128%
0–020%
0–219%
0–39%
1–17%
1–05%
From our goals model: Gualaceo SC 0.2 – 1.4 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
28%
3.63
–
Form
Gualaceo SC – last 6
DWWWDL
19 Sep
vs LDU Portoviejo
0–0
D
10 Sep
@ Cumbayá
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs El Nacional
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Atletico FC
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 6
DWLWLD
18 Sep
@ Flamengo
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Libertad
3–2
W
11 Sep
vs Flamengo
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Macara
3–1
W
3 Sep
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gualaceo SC and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Gualaceo SC have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 68%.
How many goals will there be in Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Gualaceo SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
