Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultASA to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.20
ASA vs Gama preview and prediction
The match
Gama travel to face ASA in the Serie D on Sunday 23 August (21:00 WAT).
Form guide
ASA's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Goiatuba EC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gama's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Sao Jose 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
ASA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for ASA and 1.1 for Gama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ASA 43%, draw 24%, Gama 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: ASA 1–1 Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ASA43%fair 2.30 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.80
Gama33%fair 3.07 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.29ASA xG
1.07Gama xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: ASA 1.3 – 1.1 Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA to win✓
43%
2.30
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA / FT ASA✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
ASA – last 6
DDWWWW
16 Aug
vs Goiatuba EC
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Goiatuba EC
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Cianorte
5–1
W
18 Jul
@ Cianorte
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Ivinhema
4–0
W
7 Jul
@ Ivinhema
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gama – last 6
WDWLWL
16 Aug
vs Sao Jose
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ Sao Jose
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs America-RN
3–2
W
19 Jul
@ America-RN
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Porto Velho
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Porto Velho
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA and Gama.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ASA vs Gama?
On our numbers ASA have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gama 33%.
How many goals will there be in ASA vs Gama?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA vs Gama?
Our predicted score is ASA 1–1 Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is ASA vs Gama?
ASA vs Gama (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
