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Liga Alef · Israel
1–0
FT

Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Hapoel Sderot or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultHapoel Sderot to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceHapoel Sderot or draw ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh preview and prediction

The match

The Liga Alef sees Hapoel Sderot take on Ironi Beit Shemesh on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Hapoel Sderot's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Ironi Beit Shemesh's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.

Ironi Beit Shemesh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Hapoel Sderot and 1.2 for Ironi Beit Shemesh. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Sderot or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Sderot 2–1 Ironi Beit Shemesh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hapoel Sderot58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.70
Ironi Beit Shemesh19%fair 5.34 · @3.60
3.29Expected goals
2.13Hapoel Sderot xG
1.16Ironi Beit Shemesh xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Hapoel Sderot 2.1 – 1.2 Ironi Beit Shemesh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHapoel Sderot to win ✓58%1.711.75
Double chanceHapoel Sderot or draw ✓81%1.231.30 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultHapoel Sderot ahead at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hapoel Sderot / FT Hapoel Sderot ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Form

Hapoel Sderot – last 6

LWDWLD
26 Octvs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth2–3L
23 Oct@ FC Jerusalem5–0W
19 Octvs Hapoel Herzliya2–2D
12 Oct@ Hapoel Rahat4–1W
9 Oct@ Dimona1–4L
1 Octvs Hapoel Azor0–0D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Ironi Beit Shemesh – last 6

WDWLWD
23 Octvs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda5–0W
18 Oct@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi3–3D
9 Octvs Tzeirey Tira3–1W
1 Oct@ Maccabi Yavne1–5L
23 Sepvs Nordia Jerusalem1–0W
18 Sep@ Maccabi Ashdod2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Sderot and Ironi Beit Shemesh.

Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?

Our pick is Hapoel Sderot or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?

On our numbers Hapoel Sderot have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ironi Beit Shemesh 19%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Sderot 2–1 Ironi Beit Shemesh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?

Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.