Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗44% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees Cerro Porteno take on Libertad Asuncion on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at General Pablo Rojas. Cerro Porteno are 7th with 28 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Libertad Asuncion sit 3rd on 33 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cerro Porteno's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Resistencia 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Libertad Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Libertad Asuncion 2–3 Cerro Porteno.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Cerro Porteno and 1.1 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Libertad Asuncion to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno44%fair 2.26 · @2.06
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Libertad Asuncion34%fair 2.96 · @3.40
2.48Expected goals
1.35Cerro Porteno xG
1.13Libertad Asuncion xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.4 – 1.1 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertad Asuncion 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
