Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · Won ✓
8/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBendel Insurance to win ✓55% · fair 1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.67
Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance preview and prediction
The match
Kwara United host Bendel Insurance in the NPFL on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Kwara Sports Stadium. Kwara United are 12th with 50 points from 38 games (in the bottom half), while Bendel Insurance sit 7th on 53 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kwara United's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Barau FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Bendel Insurance's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Rivers United 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Kwara United and 1.6 for Bendel Insurance. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kwara United 34%, draw 11%, Bendel Insurance 55%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Kwara United 1–1 Bendel Insurance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kwara United34%fair 2.94
Draw11%fair 9.09
Bendel Insurance55%fair 1.82
2.74Expected goals
1.14Kwara United xG
1.60Bendel Insurance xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kwara United 1.1 – 1.6 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bendel Insurance to win✓
55%
1.82
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bendel Insurance / FT Bendel Insurance
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.67
–
Form
Kwara United – last 6
DDLWLW
25 Oct
@ Barau FC
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Abia Warriors
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ikorodu City
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Ranchers Bees
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Nasarawa United
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bendel Insurance – last 6
WLWLWL
25 Oct
vs Rivers United
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Sporting Lagos
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Barau FC
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Abia Warriors
0–3
L
23 Sep
vs Ikorodu City
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Ranchers Bees
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kwara United and Bendel Insurance.
What is the prediction for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance.
Who will win Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
On our numbers Kwara United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Bendel Insurance 55%.
How many goals will there be in Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our predicted score is Kwara United 1–1 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kwara Sports Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
