Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.69
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City preview and prediction
The match
Niger Tornadoes host Ikorodu City in the NPFL on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Bako Kontagora Stadium. Niger Tornadoes are 16th with 48 points from 38 games (in the bottom half), while Ikorodu City sit 4th on 58 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Niger Tornadoes's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Ranchers Bees 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ikorodu City's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Kwara United 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Niger Tornadoes and 0.4 for Ikorodu City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Niger Tornadoes 69%, draw 22%, Ikorodu City 9%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Niger Tornadoes to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Ikorodu City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Niger Tornadoes69%fair 1.46 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.30
Ikorodu City9%fair 10.86 · @6.25
2.04Expected goals
1.63Niger Tornadoes xG
0.40Ikorodu City xG
35%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–017%
0–013%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Niger Tornadoes 1.6 – 0.4 Ikorodu City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Niger Tornadoes to win✓
69%
1.46
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Niger Tornadoes or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Niger Tornadoes / FT Niger Tornadoes✓
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.69
–
Form
Niger Tornadoes – last 6
DWLDLL
11 Oct
@ Ranchers Bees
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Kun Khalifat FC
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Nasarawa United
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Warri Wolves
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Katsina United
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Kano Pillars
2–3
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ikorodu City – last 6
WLDWLD
10 Oct
vs Kwara United
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Rivers United
0–2
L
30 Sep
@ Sporting Lagos
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Enugu Rangers
2–0
W
23 Sep
@ Bendel Insurance
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Barau FC
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City.
What is the prediction for Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?
Our pick is Niger Tornadoes to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?
On our numbers Niger Tornadoes have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ikorodu City 9%.
How many goals will there be in Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?
Our predicted score is Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Ikorodu City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Bako Kontagora Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Lagos0
Sporting Lagos3
Ranchers Bees1