Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Kun Khalifat FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKun Khalifat FC to win ✓64% · @1.83
Double chanceKun Khalifat FC or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.71
Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United preview and prediction
The match
Kun Khalifat FC host Kwara United in the NPFL on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Kun Khalifat FC are 14th with 49 points from 38 games (in the bottom half), while Kwara United sit 12th on 50 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kun Khalifat FC's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Rivers United 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kwara United's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Nasarawa United 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kwara United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Kun Khalifat FC and 0.7 for Kwara United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kun Khalifat FC 64%, draw 24%, Kwara United 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kun Khalifat FC to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kun Khalifat FC 1–0 Kwara United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kun Khalifat FC64%fair 1.55 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Kwara United11%fair 8.93 · @4.20
2.52Expected goals
1.86Kun Khalifat FC xG
0.67Kwara United xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kun Khalifat FC 1.9 – 0.7 Kwara United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kun Khalifat FC to win✓
64%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Kun Khalifat FC or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Kun Khalifat FC ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kun Khalifat FC / FT Kun Khalifat FC✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.71
–
Form
Kun Khalifat FC – last 6
LLLDDD
24 Sep
@ Rivers United
0–5
L
20 Sep
vs Enugu Rangers
2–4
L
13 Sep
@ Bendel Insurance
2–4
L
6 Sep
vs Barau FC
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Plateau United
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Nasarawa United
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kwara United – last 6
WLWLDL
23 Sep
vs Nasarawa United
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Warri Wolves
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Katsina United
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Plateau United
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Kano Pillars
2–2
D
24 May
@ Bayelsa United
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kun Khalifat FC and Kwara United.
What is the prediction for Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United?
Our pick is Kun Khalifat FC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United?
On our numbers Kun Khalifat FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kwara United 11%.
How many goals will there be in Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United?
Our predicted score is Kun Khalifat FC 1–0 Kwara United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United?
Kun Khalifat FC vs Kwara United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.