NPFL · Nigeria · Warri Township StadiumWarri Wolves vs Kwara United prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Warri Wolves 1.0 – 1.6 Kwara United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Kwara United travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 29% for Warri Wolves.
Warri Wolves have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Kwara United have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.0 for Warri Wolves, 1.6 for Kwara United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kwara United to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kwara United / FT Kwara United ✗ | 32% | 3.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.22 | – |
Form
Warri Wolves – last 6
| 16 Sep | @ Rivers United | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Bendel Insurance | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | vs Abia Warriors | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Apr | vs Rivers United | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Ikorodu City | 3–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | vs Bendel Insurance | 0–0 | D |
Kwara United – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Katsina United | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Plateau United | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Kano Pillars | 2–2 | D |
| 24 May | @ Bayelsa United | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Barau FC | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Apr | vs El Kanemi Warriors | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warri Wolves and Kwara United.
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
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Sporting Lagos0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance.
Who will win Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?
On our numbers Warri Wolves have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kwara United 60%.
How many goals will there be in Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?
Warri Wolves vs Kwara United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Warri Township Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.