NPFL · Nigeria · Rwang Pam StadiumPlateau United vs Shooting Stars prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Plateau United 1.5 – 0.7 Shooting Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Plateau United hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for Shooting Stars.
Plateau United have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Shooting Stars have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.5 for Plateau United, 0.7 for Shooting Stars). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Plateau United have won 1, Shooting Stars have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Plateau United to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Plateau United / FT Plateau United ✗ | 34% | 2.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.72 | – |
Form
Plateau United – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Kwara United | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Rivers United | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | @ Nasarawa United | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | vs Kano Pillars | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | vs Kun Khalifat FC | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Apr | vs Ikorodu City | 4–1 | W |
Shooting Stars – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ CS Sfaxien | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs CS Sfaxien | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Inter Lagos | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | @ Niger Tornadoes | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Apr | @ Remo Stars | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs Enugu Rangers | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Feb 2026 | Plateau United v Shooting Stars | 4–1 |
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
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Sporting Lagos0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?
On our numbers Plateau United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Shooting Stars 20%.
How many goals will there be in Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?
Plateau United vs Shooting Stars (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rwang Pam Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.