Value bet: Ikorodu City to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Lagos to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City preview and prediction
The match
The NPFL sees Sporting Lagos take on Ikorodu City on Wednesday 30 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Mobolaji Johnson Arena.
Form guide
Sporting Lagos's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Barau FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Ikorodu City's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Enugu Rangers 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Sporting Lagos and 1.3 for Ikorodu City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Lagos 38%, draw 25%, Ikorodu City 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Ikorodu City to win at 3.20 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting Lagos 1–1 Ikorodu City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Lagos38%fair 2.64 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Ikorodu City38%fair 2.66 · @3.20
2.70Expected goals
1.35Sporting Lagos xG
1.35Ikorodu City xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sporting Lagos 1.4 – 1.3 Ikorodu City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Lagos to win✗
38%
2.64
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Lagos / FT Sporting Lagos✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.00
–
Form
Sporting Lagos – last 5
DWLWL
26 Sep
vs Barau FC
1–1
D
23 Sep
@ Enyimba
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Abia Warriors
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Inter Lagos
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Doma United
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Ikorodu City – last 6
WLDDWL
27 Sep
vs Enugu Rangers
2–0
W
23 Sep
@ Bendel Insurance
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Barau FC
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Abia Warriors
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Ranchers Bees
3–1
W
27 Jul
@ El Kanemi Warriors
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Lagos and Ikorodu City.
What is the prediction for Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City?
On our numbers Sporting Lagos have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ikorodu City 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City?
Our predicted score is Sporting Lagos 1–1 Ikorodu City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City?
Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City (NPFL) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mobolaji Johnson Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
