Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Nasarawa United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNasarawa United to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceNasarawa United or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance preview and prediction
The match
Nasarawa United host Bendel Insurance in the NPFL on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Lafia Township Stadium. Nasarawa United are 5th with 56 points from 38 games (in the top half), while Bendel Insurance sit 7th on 53 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nasarawa United's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Barau FC 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Bendel Insurance's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Warri Wolves 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Nasarawa United 1–0 Bendel Insurance.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Nasarawa United and 0.8 for Bendel Insurance. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nasarawa United 65%, draw 25%, Bendel Insurance 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nasarawa United to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nasarawa United 2–0 Bendel Insurance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nasarawa United65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Bendel Insurance11%fair 9.51 · @5.00
2.87Expected goals
2.08Nasarawa United xG
0.79Bendel Insurance xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nasarawa United 2.1 – 0.8 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our pick is Nasarawa United to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
On our numbers Nasarawa United have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bendel Insurance 11%.
How many goals will there be in Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our predicted score is Nasarawa United 2–0 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lafia Township Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
