Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Lions to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLions to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Lions vs Peninsula Power preview and prediction
The match
The Queensland NPL sees Lions take on Peninsula Power on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Lions Stadium.
Form guide
Lions's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat North Sunshine Eagles 4–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Peninsula Power's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Brisbane City 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Lions 1–0 Peninsula Power. Across their last 2 meetings Lions have won 1, Peninsula Power 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Lions and 1.3 for Peninsula Power. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lions 59%, draw 18%, Peninsula Power 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Lions to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lions 2–1 Peninsula Power. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lions59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.50
Peninsula Power22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
3.52Expected goals
2.22Lions xG
1.30Peninsula Power xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lions 2.2 – 1.3 Peninsula Power expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lions vs Peninsula Power?
On our numbers Lions have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Peninsula Power 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Peninsula Power?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Our predicted score is Lions 2–1 Peninsula Power, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Lions vs Peninsula Power (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Lions Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia · Lions Stadium
