Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Moreton City Excelsior to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights preview and prediction
The match
Moreton City Excelsior host Gold Coast Knights in the Queensland NPL on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT) at Wolter Park.
Form guide
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Lions 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Gold Coast Knights's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Brisbane Roar II 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Gold Coast Knights 2–1 Moreton City Excelsior. Across their last 2 meetings Moreton City Excelsior have won 1, Gold Coast Knights 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.3 for Gold Coast Knights. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Moreton City Excelsior to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Gold Coast Knights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreton City Excelsior62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.16 · @3.80
Gold Coast Knights24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
3.60Expected goals
2.27Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.33Gold Coast Knights xG
69%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.3 – 1.3 Gold Coast Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
62%
1.62
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our pick is Moreton City Excelsior to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Gold Coast Knights 24%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Gold Coast Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Wolter Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia · Wolter Park
