Value bet: Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKastrioti Krujë to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.32
Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë preview and prediction
The match
Iliria Fushë-Krujë travel to face Kastrioti Krujë in the 1st Division on Saturday 24 October (12:30 WAT). Kastrioti Krujë are 9th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Iliria Fushë-Krujë sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Kastrioti Krujë's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Besëlidhja Lezhë 1–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Burreli 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Kastrioti Krujë and 1.2 for Iliria Fushë-Krujë. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Kastrioti Krujë 1–1 Iliria Fushë-Krujë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kastrioti Krujë39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Iliria Fushë-Krujë38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
2.45Expected goals
1.24Kastrioti Krujë xG
1.21Iliria Fushë-Krujë xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kastrioti Krujë 1.2 – 1.2 Iliria Fushë-Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kastrioti Krujë to win✗
39%
2.54
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kastrioti Krujë / FT Kastrioti Krujë
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.32
–
Form
Kastrioti Krujë – last 6
LWWDWL
17 Oct
@ Besëlidhja Lezhë
1–4
L
11 Oct
vs Oriku
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Luzi 2008
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sopoti Librazhd
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Flamurtari
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Pogradeci
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Iliria Fushë-Krujë – last 6
WLWDDW
17 Oct
vs Burreli
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Besa Kavajë
0–2
L
7 Oct
vs Veleçiku Koplik
4–3
W
20 Sep
vs Bylis
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Korabi Peshkopi
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs FK Kukesi
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kastrioti Krujë and Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
What is the prediction for Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
On our numbers Kastrioti Krujë have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Iliria Fushë-Krujë 38%.
How many goals will there be in Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Our predicted score is Kastrioti Krujë 1–1 Iliria Fushë-Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
